OK, I kept updating the June 25th post so I decided to just make a second follow-up post today.
So if you have not read the earlier post on NCMEC’s RSO counts, scroll down first read it and then scroll back up to this one and click on read more.
Yesterday I made a simple chart, today I made a very big chart (too wide) to post on the blog. The below chart is missing the totals for December 2009, June 2010, June 2011 and November 2011 (because it won’t fit) but is still very informative.
National Missing and Exploited Children's Count of Registered Sex Offenders in the U.S. 2008 to 2014
|2008 September||2014 June||% of Total RSO's in U.S. in 2014||Growth Rate 2008 to 2014||2008 to 2014 Difference||2008/2014 Difference as Average per Month Increase|
|more RSO's in 2014 than in 2008|
After completing the complete chart I am convinced the NCMEC numbers are wrong.
Quick reminder of VSP totals from earlier post:
2008 December 1st
2009 December 1st
2010 December 1st
2011 December 1st
2012 December 1st
2013 October 16th
The question now is, did NCMEC inflate the numbers years ago to create hype and hysteria about RSO’s and the need for the registries and harsher new laws? And now in 2014 are they trying to make the numbers closer to being accurate? Or are they too low today because they can’t be bothered to retrieve accurate data from every state?
I was very surprised to see a significant decrease (39,000) in
because as of today ALL
California RSO’s are “lifers” with no ability to ever get removed, other than
moving out-of-state or dying. But California Oklahoma having
some sort of decrease makes sense with the successful 2013 court challenge,
maybe that why
has a decrease as well. But why decreases in Indiana Michigan
and ? New Hampshire
In 69 months how could
only add 24 additional folks? Are they granting every petition for removal that
is filed or is that a high-death rate state for RSO’s? Arizona
Then there is the question, does the NCMEC totals capture ALL RSO’s or just the public ones. There are states that don’t publically post the juvenile RSO’s or their misdemeanor offenders (Tier/Level 1’s) or states where the Tier/Level 2’s aren’t posted for everyone to see but yet all of these folks who aren’t posted must still register with the authorities, they must abide by some or even all of the restrictions and if they slip up they face a new felony. Are these RSO’s who are on a private/authority-only-access list captured in NCMEC’s count?
As an advocate who uses data to oppose myth-based legislation and proposals against RSO’s, I’d like to know. I would also think states want to be accurately represented by the NCMEC and any hidden agenda, bias or inability to properly count each states RSO’s should be of concern to the states.
Someone needs to look into to the last 7 years of NCMEC counts for Sex Offenders in the
before one more article references their count. That could include long
distance phone calls, different time-zones or official FOIA requests (with
fees) plus in VA there is a law that a non-Virginian can not request a FOIA for
data. I image we aren't the only state that has such a law so if I started
calling 49 other states as a Virginian, some may deny my request. So yesterday I reached out to 20-35 other advocates
across the Virginia
asking if they’d send me their states most recent and official RSO count plus
who the owner/manager of their registry is so I could confirm the data. It’s
been 24 hours and I’ve only heard back from 2 advocates so I’ve sent my
concerns and the data to some reporters hoping that one take an interest and
will do a story on these questionable numbers. U.S.