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Tuesday, December 13, 2016

50 States Per Capita for Registered Sex Offenders, As of December 2016 Oregon is #1, West Virginia Moved Up 9 Spots to #18, South Carolina Dropped 20 Spots to #36 and Virginia is #23


OK, since the NCMEC December 2016 Map came out in the last 2 days, the Per Capita Chart I originally created during the 2016 Virginia GA session per the request of a Virginia Delegate needed to be revised. 

NCMEC gives the 100,000 per capita numbers but that really doesn’t mean much to most folks, they need something a bit more tangible. So I took the idea from my Virginia State Police Registry Growth chart where I calculate 1 out of every Adult Male in the State. 

Now, not every Registered Sex Offender is a Male, in Virginia approximately 5% of the VSP Registry is female. 

Also not every Registered Sex Offender is an adult; there are juveniles in most States who are Registered Sex Offenders. Plus there are States with Private Registries and NCMEC doesn’t state anywhere if their official count is including juveniles or private lists. Finally NCMEC claims their Registered Sex Offender count does NOT include incarcerated Registered Sex Offenders, well what about civilly committed SVP’s? We just don’t know. 

So this Per Capita Chart (see below) for December 2016 is as good as the NCMEC data. 

Here are the most notable changes and similarities with the new chart versus the June 2016 per capita chart: 

  • Oregon remains #1 per capita for Registered Sex Offenders. 1 out of every 139 Person, 1 out of every 107 Adult Person, AND 1 out of every 52 Adult Male is a Registered Sex Offender.
  • The Territory of Guam remains at #2 per capita for Registered Sex Offenders. 1 out of every 166 Person, 1 out of every 127 Adult Person, AND 1 out of every 62 Adult Male is a Registered Sex Offender.
  • Texas moved up from #14 to now #12. 1 out of every 310 Person, 1 out of every 237 Adult Person, AND 1 out of every 116 Adult Male is a Registered Sex Offender.
  • Alaska dropped from #13 to #15. 1 out of every 315 Person, 1 out of every 242 Adult Person, AND 1 out of every 118 Adult Male is a Registered Sex Offender.
  • West Virginia jumped up from #27 to #18.  1 out of every 337 Person, 1 out of every 258 Adult Person, AND 1 out of every 126 Adult Male is a Registered Sex Offender.
  • Wyoming jumped up from #26 to #21. 1 out of every 362 Person, 1 out of every 278 Adult Person, AND 1 out of every 136 Adult Male is a Registered Sex Offender.
  • Vermont moved up from #34 to #31.
  • New Jersey moved up from #44 to #41.
  • The District of Columbia moved up from #47 to #44.

  • California dropped from #23 to #25. 1 out of every 375 Person, 1 out of every 287 Adult Person, AND 1 out of every 140 Adult Male is a Registered Sex Offender.
  • North Dakota dropped from #32 to #38.
  • South Carolina dropped the most spots from #16 to #36 because of the dramatic change in NCMEC’s RSO count for South Carolina in the last 6 months. Interestingly enough from December 2015 to June 2016, South Carolina dropped 7 spots so it seems NCMEC”s number for S.C. just keeps getting slashed.
  • Maryland continues to remain at the lowest position for a U.S. State (not a U.S .Territory) at #52. 1 out of every 885 Person, 1 out of every 678 Adult Person, AND 1 out of every 332 Adult Male is a Registered Sex Offender.
  • Virginia dropped from #22 to #23. 1 out of every 372 Person, 1 out of every 285 Adult Person, AND 1 out of every 139 Adult Male is a Registered Sex Offender in the Commonwealth.
Mary Devoy